Danny Castillo vs Paul Felder

January 2, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1086
(-50)
Danny Castillo
Winner: Paul Felder
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:09

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Danny Castillo-50
Paul Felder+68
1099
(+68)
Paul Felder

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -35Paul Felder: +59

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloPaul Felder
Total UFC Fights122
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 0771 128
ELO Change-35+59
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What Happened

Paul Felder overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Danny Castillo.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -23Paul Felder: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloPaul Felder
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0321 045
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -64Paul Felder: +131

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloPaul Felder
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:092:09
Win Type ELO1 1481 144
ELO Change-64+131
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What Happened

Paul Felder gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -118Paul Felder: +118

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloPaul Felder
Significant Strikes Landed2133
Significant Strikes Attempted5294
Total Strikes Landed2133
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0051 160
ELO Change-118+118
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What Happened

Paul Felder controlled the striking exchanges with 33 vs 21 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Paul Felder capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -83Paul Felder: +83

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloPaul Felder
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:000:02
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 1781 118
ELO Change-83+83
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -31Paul Felder: +77

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloPaul Felder
Days Since Last Fight12792
Activity ELO1 1631 099
ELO Change-31+77
💡

What Happened

Paul Felder demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paul Felder capitalized on this activity level, while Danny Castillo's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -24Paul Felder: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloPaul Felder
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0521 054
ELO Change-24+29
💡

What Happened

Paul Felder extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danny Castillo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Castillo: -23Paul Felder: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny CastilloPaul Felder
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0311 045
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.