February 19, 2021
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Chavez | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 026 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Jared Gordon's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jared Gordon for the expected result. Had Danny Chavez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 002 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Jared Gordon earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 82 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 113 | 131 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 138 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 975 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Jared Gordon dominated the striking exchanges with 138 vs 42 total strikes, 82 vs 39 significant strikes, 62.6% vs 34.5% accuracy. Jared Gordon capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 6:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 010 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Jared Gordon controlled Danny Chavez on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 6:07 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 221 |
| Activity ELO | 1 002 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Jared Gordon demonstrated standard activity with 221 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jared Gordon capitalized on this activity level, while Danny Chavez's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Jared Gordon extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danny Chavez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | Jared Gordon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.