August 14, 2020
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Chavez | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 906 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 036 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Danny Chavez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 110 | 139 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 021 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Danny Chavez slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 49 vs 43 significant strikes, 44.5% vs 30.9% accuracy. Danny Chavez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:05 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 068 | 881 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Danny Chavez controlled TJ Brown on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 2:05 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Danny Chavez demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Danny Chavez capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Brown's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Danny Chavez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. TJ Brown is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Chavez | TJ Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.