Danny Downes vs Jeremy Stephens

June 3, 2011

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

974
(-26)
Danny Downes
Winner: Jeremy Stephens
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Danny Downes-26
Jeremy Stephens+28
1145
(+28)
Jeremy Stephens

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Downes: -25Jeremy Stephens: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny DownesJeremy Stephens
Total UFC Fights112
Experience Gap-1111
Experience ELO9751 103
ELO Change-25+25
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What Happened

Jeremy Stephens's 11-fight experience advantage (12 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jeremy Stephens for the expected result. Had Danny Downes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Downes: -19Jeremy Stephens: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny DownesJeremy Stephens
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 053
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Downes: -18Jeremy Stephens: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny DownesJeremy Stephens
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9821 238
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

Jeremy Stephens earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Downes: -11Jeremy Stephens: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny DownesJeremy Stephens
Significant Strikes Landed3255
Significant Strikes Attempted8888
Total Strikes Landed4887
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9891 303
ELO Change-11+11
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What Happened

Jeremy Stephens controlled the striking exchanges with 87 vs 48 total strikes, 55 vs 32 significant strikes, 62.5% vs 36.4% accuracy. Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Downes: -87Jeremy Stephens: +87

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny DownesJeremy Stephens
Takedowns Landed06
Takedowns Attempted08
Ground Control Time0:288:16
Ground Strikes Landed09
Ground ELO9131 151
ELO Change-87+87
💡

What Happened

Jeremy Stephens dominated Danny Downes on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 8:16 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Downes: -12Jeremy Stephens: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny DownesJeremy Stephens
Days Since Last FightN/A154
Activity ELO9881 184
ELO Change-12+21
💡

What Happened

Jeremy Stephens demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this activity level, while Danny Downes's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Downes: -18Jeremy Stephens: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny DownesJeremy Stephens
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9821 076
ELO Change-18+21
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What Happened

Jeremy Stephens extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danny Downes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Downes: -19Jeremy Stephens: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny DownesJeremy Stephens
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 052
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.