November 18, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 998 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +44 |
Jack Della Maddalena overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Danny Roberts.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:24 | 3:24 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 093 | 1 276 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +70 |
Jack Della Maddalena earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:24, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 953 | 1 311 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Jack Della Maddalena dominated the striking exchanges with 41 vs 5 total strikes, 33 vs 5 significant strikes, 55.0% vs 15.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Jack Della Maddalena capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 0:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 997 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Jack Della Maddalena landed 2 knockdowns followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +40 |
Jack Della Maddalena demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jack Della Maddalena capitalized on this activity level, while Danny Roberts's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 039 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +28 |
Jack Della Maddalena extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danny Roberts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Jack Della Maddalena |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.