October 7, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 024 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:40 | 4:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 073 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +81 |
Mike Perry gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 81 | 90 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 239 | 214 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 103 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 003 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Mike Perry controlled the striking exchanges with 103 vs 81 total strikes, 90 vs 81 significant strikes, 42.1% vs 33.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mike Perry capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 1 012 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Mike Perry controlled Danny Roberts on the ground with 1:42 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 49 |
| Activity ELO | 1 040 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +117 |
Mike Perry demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Mike Perry capitalized on this activity level, while Danny Roberts's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Mike Perry extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danny Roberts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.