Danny Roberts vs Nathan Coy

December 9, 2015

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1031
(+31)
Danny Roberts
Winner: Danny Roberts
Submission
Round 1 • 2:46

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Danny Roberts+31
Nathan Coy-26
974
(-26)
Nathan Coy

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Roberts: +21Nathan Coy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny RobertsNathan Coy
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Roberts: +21Nathan Coy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny RobertsNathan Coy
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Roberts: +74Nathan Coy: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny RobertsNathan Coy
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:462:46
Win Type ELO1 074958
ELO Change+74-42
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What Happened

Danny Roberts earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:46, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Roberts: +21Nathan Coy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny RobertsNathan Coy
Significant Strikes Landed611
Significant Strikes Attempted1927
Total Strikes Landed814
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Nathan Coy controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (11 vs 6). However, since Nathan Coy lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Danny Roberts's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Roberts: +42Nathan Coy: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny RobertsNathan Coy
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:000:43
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 042958
ELO Change+42-42
💡

What Happened

Danny Roberts edged out Nathan Coy on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Roberts: +21Nathan Coy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny RobertsNathan Coy
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Danny Roberts demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Danny Roberts capitalized on this activity level, while Nathan Coy's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Roberts: +23Nathan Coy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny RobertsNathan Coy
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Danny Roberts started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nathan Coy is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Danny Roberts: +21Nathan Coy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDanny RobertsNathan Coy
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.