December 15, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Nordine Taleb |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 024 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Nordine Taleb's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nordine Taleb for the expected result. Had Danny Roberts pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Nordine Taleb |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Nordine Taleb |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:59 | 0:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 099 | 1 280 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +96 |
Nordine Taleb secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:59 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Nordine Taleb |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 983 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Nordine Taleb controlled the striking exchanges with 100.0% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nordine Taleb capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Nordine Taleb |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 998 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Nordine Taleb |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 040 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Nordine Taleb demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nordine Taleb capitalized on this activity level, while Danny Roberts's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Nordine Taleb |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Nordine Taleb extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Danny Roberts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Nordine Taleb |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.