October 15, 2021
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Danny Roberts's 4-fight experience advantage (11 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Danny Roberts for the expected result. Had Ramazan Emeev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 055 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 147 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Danny Roberts receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 67 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 064 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Ramazan Emeev controlled the striking through superior volume (67 vs 42 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (40 vs 34), superior accuracy (50.6% vs 36.2%). However, since Ramazan Emeev lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Danny Roberts's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:38 | 2:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 080 | 1 204 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Danny Roberts did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ramazan Emeev on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:38 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 707 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 1 115 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -23 |
Danny Roberts demonstrated extended layoff with 707 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Danny Roberts capitalized on this activity level, while Ramazan Emeev's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -25 |
Danny Roberts extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ramazan Emeev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Ramazan Emeev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 055 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

