November 8, 2019
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Zelim Imadaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 992 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Danny Roberts's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Danny Roberts for the expected result. Had Zelim Imadaev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Zelim Imadaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 031 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Zelim Imadaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:54 | 4:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 135 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -32 |
Danny Roberts gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Zelim Imadaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 61 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 035 | 883 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -103 |
Danny Roberts controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 28 significant strikes, 60.7% vs 39.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Danny Roberts capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Zelim Imadaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:19 | 2:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 038 | 884 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Danny Roberts did not secure a significant ground advantage against Zelim Imadaev on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:19 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Zelim Imadaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 094 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -16 |
Danny Roberts demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Danny Roberts capitalized on this activity level, while Zelim Imadaev's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Zelim Imadaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 044 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Danny Roberts started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zelim Imadaev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Roberts | Zelim Imadaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

