March 15, 2024
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Silva | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 089 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Danny Silva overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Josh Culibao.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 013 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Danny Silva receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 87 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 107 | 202 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 025 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Josh Culibao controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (89 vs 56 total strikes), significant strike advantage (87 vs 45). However, since Josh Culibao lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Danny Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:28 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 054 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Danny Silva controlled Josh Culibao on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:28 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Danny Silva demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Danny Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Culibao's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Danny Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Culibao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.