March 1, 2025
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Danny Silva | Lucas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 122 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -28 |
Danny Silva overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Lucas Almeida.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Lucas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Lucas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 025 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Danny Silva receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Lucas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 82 | 74 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 137 | 240 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 044 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Danny Silva edged the striking exchanges with 82 vs 74 significant strikes, 59.9% vs 30.8% accuracy. Danny Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Lucas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:49 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 093 | 886 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Danny Silva controlled Lucas Almeida on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:49 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Lucas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 351 | 260 |
| Activity ELO | 1 044 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Danny Silva demonstrated standard activity with 351 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Danny Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Lucas Almeida's 260-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Lucas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Danny Silva extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lucas Almeida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Danny Silva | Lucas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.