June 21, 2025
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daria Zhelezniakova | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Daria Zhelezniakova | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daria Zhelezniakova | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 059 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Daria Zhelezniakova earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daria Zhelezniakova | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 99 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 223 | 148 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 103 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 054 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Daria Zhelezniakova controlled the striking exchanges with 103 vs 77 total strikes, 99 vs 64 significant strikes. Daria Zhelezniakova capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daria Zhelezniakova | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 981 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Daria Zhelezniakova did not secure a significant ground advantage against Melissa Mullins on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Daria Zhelezniakova | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 266 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 032 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Daria Zhelezniakova demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Daria Zhelezniakova capitalized on this activity level, while Melissa Mullins's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daria Zhelezniakova | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Daria Zhelezniakova started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Melissa Mullins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daria Zhelezniakova | Melissa Mullins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.