March 15, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 024 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
John Makdessi's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Makdessi for the expected result. Had Daron Cruickshank pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 073 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
John Makdessi earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 86 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 198 | 195 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 071 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
John Makdessi controlled the striking exchanges with 88 vs 51 total strikes, 86 vs 51 significant strikes, 44.1% vs 25.8% accuracy. John Makdessi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 051 | 971 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +52 |
John Makdessi demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, John Makdessi capitalized on this activity level, while Daron Cruickshank's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
John Makdessi extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daron Cruickshank is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.