January 24, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Mike Rio |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 017 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Daron Cruickshank's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Daron Cruickshank for the expected result. Had Mike Rio pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Mike Rio |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Mike Rio |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:56 | 4:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 110 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -36 |
Daron Cruickshank gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Mike Rio |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 104 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 166 | 850 |
| ELO Change | +129 | -129 |
Daron Cruickshank dominated the striking exchanges with 51 vs 14 total strikes, 46 vs 10 significant strikes, 44.2% vs 26.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Daron Cruickshank capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Mike Rio |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:26 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 980 | 881 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Daron Cruickshank landed 2 knockdowns followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Mike Rio |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 107 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -17 |
Daron Cruickshank demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Daron Cruickshank capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Rio's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Mike Rio |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Daron Cruickshank started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Rio is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Mike Rio |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

