January 16, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 971 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +38 |
Paul Felder overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Daron Cruickshank.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 986 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:56 | 3:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 052 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +60 |
Paul Felder earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:56, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Daron Cruickshank was submitted.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 070 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Paul Felder edged the striking exchanges with 46 vs 32 significant strikes. Paul Felder capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:57 | 6:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 824 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -104 | +104 |
Paul Felder dominated Daron Cruickshank on the ground with 2 takedowns, 6:12 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 177 | 135 |
| Activity ELO | 1 098 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +48 |
Paul Felder demonstrated solid activity levels with 135 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paul Felder capitalized on this activity level, while Daron Cruickshank's 177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Paul Felder started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daron Cruickshank is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Daron Cruickshank | Paul Felder |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.