June 24, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 007 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 000 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Darrell Horcher receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 990 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Devin Powell controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (97 vs 56 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (43 vs 37). However, since Devin Powell lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Darrell Horcher's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:12 | 1:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 018 | 889 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Darrell Horcher edged out Devin Powell on the ground with 7:12 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 435 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 008 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -20 |
Darrell Horcher demonstrated extended layoff with 435 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Darrell Horcher capitalized on this activity level, while Devin Powell's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 012 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Darrell Horcher started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Devin Powell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Devin Powell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 007 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.