April 15, 2016
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 989 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Khabib Nurmagomedov for the expected result. Had Darrell Horcher pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 986 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:38 | 3:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 990 | 1 362 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +21 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 107 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 970 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov dominated the striking exchanges with 107 vs 18 total strikes, 75 vs 6 significant strikes, 71.4% vs 22.2% accuracy. Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 5:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 71 |
| Ground ELO | 989 | 1 486 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov dominated Darrell Horcher on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:32 of control time, 71 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 728 |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +9 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov demonstrated extended layoff with 728 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Khabib Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Darrell Horcher's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +30 |
Khabib Nurmagomedov continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Darrell Horcher's now at 0.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Khabib Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.