November 29, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 923 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Roosevelt Roberts overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Darrell Horcher.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 966 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:50 | 4:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 925 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +62 |
Roosevelt Roberts earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:50, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 934 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Roosevelt Roberts slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 16 vs 10 significant strikes, 45.7% vs 30.3% accuracy. Roosevelt Roberts capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:56 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 895 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Roosevelt Roberts edged out Darrell Horcher on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 356 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 969 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Roosevelt Roberts demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Roosevelt Roberts capitalized on this activity level, while Darrell Horcher's 356-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 971 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +23 |
Roosevelt Roberts started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Darrell Horcher is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darrell Horcher | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 966 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.