Darrell Montague vs John Dodson

October 18, 2013

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

969
(-31)
Darrell Montague
Winner: John Dodson
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:13

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Darrell Montague-31
John Dodson+36
1112
(+36)
John Dodson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Darrell Montague: -27John Dodson: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrell MontagueJohn Dodson
Total UFC Fights15
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9731 074
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

John Dodson's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Dodson for the expected result. Had Darrell Montague pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Darrell Montague: -18John Dodson: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrell MontagueJohn Dodson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9821 060
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Darrell Montague: -27John Dodson: +58

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrell MontagueJohn Dodson
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:134:13
Win Type ELO9731 190
ELO Change-27+58
💡

What Happened

John Dodson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:13, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Darrell Montague: -77John Dodson: +77

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrell MontagueJohn Dodson
Significant Strikes Landed1028
Significant Strikes Attempted3757
Total Strikes Landed1029
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO9231 252
ELO Change-77+77
💡

What Happened

John Dodson dominated the striking exchanges with 28 vs 10 significant strikes, 49.1% vs 27.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. John Dodson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Darrell Montague: -45John Dodson: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrell MontagueJohn Dodson
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:000:21
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO9551 098
ELO Change-45+45
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Darrell Montague: -17John Dodson: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrell MontagueJohn Dodson
Days Since Last FightN/A266
Activity ELO9831 090
ELO Change-17+21
💡

What Happened

John Dodson demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, John Dodson capitalized on this activity level, while Darrell Montague's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Darrell Montague: -18John Dodson: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrell MontagueJohn Dodson
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9821 070
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

John Dodson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Darrell Montague is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Darrell Montague: -19John Dodson: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrell MontagueJohn Dodson
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 058
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.