October 18, 2013
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darrell Montague | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
John Dodson's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Dodson for the expected result. Had Darrell Montague pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Darrell Montague | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darrell Montague | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:13 | 4:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 973 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +58 |
John Dodson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:13, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Darrell Montague | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 923 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
John Dodson dominated the striking exchanges with 28 vs 10 significant strikes, 49.1% vs 27.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. John Dodson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darrell Montague | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 955 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Darrell Montague | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 983 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
John Dodson demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, John Dodson capitalized on this activity level, while Darrell Montague's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darrell Montague | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
John Dodson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Darrell Montague is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darrell Montague | John Dodson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

