May 25, 2012
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 089 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Darren Elkins's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Darren Elkins for the expected result. Had Diego Brandao pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 058 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 187 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Darren Elkins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 115 | 46 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 152 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Darren Elkins dominated the striking exchanges with 115 vs 46 total strikes, 36 vs 23 significant strikes, 40.9% vs 48.9% accuracy. Darren Elkins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:32 | 4:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 113 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Darren Elkins edged out Diego Brandao on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 6:32 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 094 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Darren Elkins demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Darren Elkins capitalized on this activity level, while Diego Brandao's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Darren Elkins extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Diego Brandao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Diego Brandao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 058 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.