July 22, 2016
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 171 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Darren Elkins's 7-fight experience advantage (15 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Darren Elkins for the expected result. Had Godofredo Pepey pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 116 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 271 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Darren Elkins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 206 | 67 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 260 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Darren Elkins dominated the striking exchanges with 206 vs 67 total strikes, 33 vs 20 significant strikes. Darren Elkins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:45 | 1:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 30 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 349 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Darren Elkins dominated Godofredo Pepey on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 11:45 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 490 |
| Activity ELO | 1 231 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -13 |
Darren Elkins demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Darren Elkins capitalized on this activity level, while Godofredo Pepey's 490-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 154 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -15 |
Darren Elkins extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Godofredo Pepey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Godofredo Pepey |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 116 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.