Darren Elkins vs Hatsu Hioki

August 27, 2013

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1160
(+25)
Darren Elkins
Winner: Darren Elkins
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Darren Elkins+25
Hatsu Hioki-23
1008
(-23)
Hatsu Hioki

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +26Hatsu Hioki: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsHatsu Hioki
Total UFC Fights95
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 1381 030
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins's 4-fight experience advantage (9 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Darren Elkins for the expected result. Had Hatsu Hioki pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +17Hatsu Hioki: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsHatsu Hioki
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 091984
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +20Hatsu Hioki: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsHatsu Hioki
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2541 008
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +23Hatsu Hioki: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsHatsu Hioki
Significant Strikes Landed4831
Significant Strikes Attempted14469
Total Strikes Landed10073
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1561 018
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins controlled the striking exchanges with 100 vs 73 total strikes, 48 vs 31 significant strikes, 33.3% vs 44.9% accuracy. Darren Elkins capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +50Hatsu Hioki: -50

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsHatsu Hioki
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted51
Ground Control Time6:571:30
Ground Strikes Landed172
Ground ELO1 2441 024
ELO Change+50-50
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins controlled Hatsu Hioki on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 6:57 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +28Hatsu Hioki: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsHatsu Hioki
Days Since Last Fight130214
Activity ELO1 1781 018
ELO Change+28-14
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins demonstrated solid activity levels with 130 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Darren Elkins capitalized on this activity level, while Hatsu Hioki's 214-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +17Hatsu Hioki: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsHatsu Hioki
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 125996
ELO Change+17-15
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hatsu Hioki is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +17Hatsu Hioki: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsHatsu Hioki
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 091984
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.