January 24, 2014
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 101 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Jeremy Stephens's 8-fight experience advantage (18 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jeremy Stephens for the expected result. Had Darren Elkins pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 067 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 216 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Jeremy Stephens earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 137 | 117 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 129 | 1 266 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Jeremy Stephens controlled the striking exchanges with 40 vs 21 significant strikes, 34.2% vs 15.3% accuracy. Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:14 | 1:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 171 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Jeremy Stephens controlled Darren Elkins on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:08 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 151 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 157 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +64 |
Jeremy Stephens demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this activity level, while Darren Elkins's 151-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Jeremy Stephens extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Darren Elkins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 067 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.