April 12, 2025
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 30 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 098 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +83 |
Julian Erosa overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (16 vs 30 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Darren Elkins.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 077 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:15 | 4:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 215 | 1 328 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +98 |
Julian Erosa earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 73 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 952 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -126 | +126 |
Julian Erosa dominated the striking exchanges with 69 vs 18 total strikes, 54 vs 13 significant strikes, 74.0% vs 41.9% accuracy. Julian Erosa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:48 | 0:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 1 180 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Julian Erosa controlled Darren Elkins on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:48 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 274 |
| Activity ELO | 1 191 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Julian Erosa demonstrated standard activity with 274 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Julian Erosa capitalized on this activity level, while Darren Elkins's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 134 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +34 |
Julian Erosa extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Darren Elkins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 075 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.