March 3, 2017
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Mirsad Bektic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 197 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Darren Elkins's 11-fight experience advantage (16 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Darren Elkins for the expected result. Had Mirsad Bektic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Mirsad Bektic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 135 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Mirsad Bektic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:19 | 3:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 339 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -34 |
Darren Elkins gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Mirsad Bektic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 98 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 146 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 346 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -86 |
Mirsad Bektic controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (146 vs 72 total strikes), significant strike advantage (60 vs 28), superior accuracy (61.2% vs 47.5%). However, since Mirsad Bektic lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Darren Elkins's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Mirsad Bektic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:22 | 9:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 36 |
| Ground ELO | 1 364 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Darren Elkins landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Mirsad Bektic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 248 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Darren Elkins demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Darren Elkins capitalized on this activity level, while Mirsad Bektic's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Mirsad Bektic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 179 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -18 |
Darren Elkins extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mirsad Bektic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Mirsad Bektic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 135 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

