Darren Elkins vs TJ Brown

October 13, 2023

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1146
(+24)
Darren Elkins
Winner: Darren Elkins
Submission
Round 3 • 2:23

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Darren Elkins+24
TJ Brown-23
957
(-23)
TJ Brown

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +21TJ Brown: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsTJ Brown
Total UFC Fights288
Experience Gap20-20
Experience ELO1 122963
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins's 20-fight experience advantage (28 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Darren Elkins for the expected result. Had TJ Brown pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +16TJ Brown: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsTJ Brown
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 087965
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +27TJ Brown: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsTJ Brown
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:232:23
Win Type ELO1 235968
ELO Change+27-18
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What Happened

Darren Elkins earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:23, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. TJ Brown was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +23TJ Brown: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsTJ Brown
Significant Strikes Landed1115
Significant Strikes Attempted3350
Total Strikes Landed9545
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 051915
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins dominated the striking exchanges with 95 vs 45 total strikes. Darren Elkins capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +59TJ Brown: -59

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsTJ Brown
Takedowns Landed52
Takedowns Attempted82
Ground Control Time8:091:29
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 235900
ELO Change+59-59
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins dominated TJ Brown on the ground with 5 vs 2 takedowns, 8:09 of control time, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +11TJ Brown: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsTJ Brown
Days Since Last Fight315182
Activity ELO1 2051 005
ELO Change+11-11
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Darren Elkins capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Brown's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +14TJ Brown: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsTJ Brown
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 145978
ELO Change+14-13
💡

What Happened

Darren Elkins started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. TJ Brown is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Darren Elkins: +16TJ Brown: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricDarren ElkinsTJ Brown
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 085965
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.