October 7, 2011
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Zhang Tiequan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Darren Elkins's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Darren Elkins for the expected result. Had Zhang Tiequan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Zhang Tiequan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Zhang Tiequan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 155 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Darren Elkins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Zhang Tiequan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 49 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 175 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 120 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +121 | -121 |
Darren Elkins dominated the striking exchanges with 175 vs 2 total strikes, 27 vs 2 significant strikes, 55.1% vs 11.1% accuracy. Darren Elkins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Zhang Tiequan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 13:09 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 076 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -91 |
Darren Elkins controlled Zhang Tiequan on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 13:09 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Zhang Tiequan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 072 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -21 |
Darren Elkins demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Darren Elkins capitalized on this activity level, while Zhang Tiequan's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Zhang Tiequan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 046 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Darren Elkins extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zhang Tiequan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Elkins | Zhang Tiequan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

