December 15, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 857 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Julian Marquez overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Darren Stewart.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 941 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:42 | 2:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 897 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +52 |
Julian Marquez earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:42, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Darren Stewart was submitted.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 915 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Darren Stewart lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Julian Marquez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:25 | 0:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 805 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Julian Marquez controlled Darren Stewart on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:52 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 35 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 942 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Julian Marquez demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Julian Marquez capitalized on this activity level, while Darren Stewart's 35-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 942 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Julian Marquez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Darren Stewart is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 941 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.