November 10, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 909 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Karl Roberson overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Darren Stewart.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:41 | 3:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 931 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +63 |
Karl Roberson earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:41, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 23 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 932 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Karl Roberson edged the striking exchanges with 17 vs 6 significant strikes, 73.9% vs 30.0% accuracy. Karl Roberson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:34 | 1:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 836 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -97 | +97 |
Karl Roberson dominated Darren Stewart on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:14 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Karl Roberson demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Karl Roberson capitalized on this activity level, while Darren Stewart's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Karl Roberson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Darren Stewart is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Karl Roberson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.