August 7, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 001 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Darren Stewart's 7-fight experience advantage (10 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Darren Stewart for the expected result. Had Maki Pitolo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:41 | 3:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 192 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -31 |
Darren Stewart earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:41, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 155 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Darren Stewart slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Darren Stewart capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 975 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Darren Stewart edged out Maki Pitolo on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:19 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 295 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 103 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Darren Stewart demonstrated standard activity with 295 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Darren Stewart capitalized on this activity level, while Maki Pitolo's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Darren Stewart extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maki Pitolo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Stewart | Maki Pitolo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 034 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.