October 20, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Till | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 26 |
| Experience Gap | -21 | 21 |
| Experience ELO | 1 227 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | +114 | -48 |
Darren Till overcame a 21-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 26 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Donald Cerrone.
| Metric | Darren Till | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 090 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Till | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:20 | 4:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 313 | 1 447 |
| ELO Change | +161 | -75 |
Darren Till earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:20, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Darren Till | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 276 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | +160 | -160 |
Darren Till controlled the striking exchanges with 24 vs 14 significant strikes, 43.6% vs 58.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Darren Till capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Till | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 179 | 1 348 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Darren Till landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Darren Till | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 49 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 287 | 1 497 |
| ELO Change | +195 | -39 |
Darren Till demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Darren Till capitalized on this activity level, while Donald Cerrone's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Till | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 113 | 1 276 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -34 |
Darren Till extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Donald Cerrone is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Till | Donald Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 089 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.