December 9, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Till | Dricus Du Plessis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 196 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +51 |
Dricus Du Plessis overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Darren Till.
| Metric | Darren Till | Dricus Du Plessis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Till | Dricus Du Plessis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:43 | 2:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 264 | 1 331 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +73 |
Dricus Du Plessis earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:43, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Darren Till was submitted.
| Metric | Darren Till | Dricus Du Plessis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 86 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 70 | 147 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 117 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 201 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Dricus Du Plessis dominated the striking exchanges with 117 vs 58 total strikes, 86 vs 35 significant strikes, 58.5% vs 50.0% accuracy. Dricus Du Plessis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Till | Dricus Du Plessis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:23 | 5:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 33 |
| Ground ELO | 947 | 1 323 |
| ELO Change | -149 | +149 |
Dricus Du Plessis dominated Darren Till on the ground with 6 vs 1 takedowns, 5:33 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Darren Till | Dricus Du Plessis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 463 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 241 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +55 |
Dricus Du Plessis demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dricus Du Plessis capitalized on this activity level, while Darren Till's 463-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Till | Dricus Du Plessis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 098 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +32 |
Dricus Du Plessis extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Darren Till is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Till | Dricus Du Plessis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.