November 1, 2019
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Till | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 284 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -39 |
Darren Till overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kelvin Gastelum.
| Metric | Darren Till | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 107 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Till | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 351 | 1 481 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Darren Till receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Darren Till | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 303 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Kelvin Gastelum lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Darren Till's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Till | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:38 | 2:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 160 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Darren Till did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kelvin Gastelum on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:38 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Darren Till | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 1 311 | 1 300 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Darren Till demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Darren Till capitalized on this activity level, while Kelvin Gastelum's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Till | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 145 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -26 |
Darren Till started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kelvin Gastelum is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Till | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 097 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.