July 24, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Till | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 255 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Robert Whittaker's 5-fight experience advantage (15 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Robert Whittaker for the expected result. Had Darren Till pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Darren Till | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 090 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darren Till | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 333 | 1 598 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Robert Whittaker earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Darren Till | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 99 | 157 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 100 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 277 | 1 586 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Robert Whittaker dominated the striking exchanges with 100 vs 50 total strikes, 69 vs 41 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Robert Whittaker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Till | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:35 | 2:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 138 | 1 377 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Robert Whittaker landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Darren Till | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 266 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 292 | 1 367 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Robert Whittaker demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Robert Whittaker capitalized on this activity level, while Darren Till's 266-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Till | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 137 | 1 414 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Robert Whittaker started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Darren Till is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Till | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 080 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.