September 7, 2018
UFC Welterweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darren Till | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 262 | 1 419 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Tyron Woodley's 5-fight experience advantage (12 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tyron Woodley for the expected result. Had Darren Till pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Darren Till | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 104 | 1 331 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +33 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Tyron Woodley captured the UFC Welterweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Darren Till | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:19 | 4:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 365 | 1 651 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +26 |
Tyron Woodley earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:19, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Darren Till was submitted.
| Metric | Darren Till | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 79 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 340 | 1 757 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Tyron Woodley dominated the striking exchanges with 74 vs 1 total strikes, 57 vs 0 significant strikes, 72.2% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tyron Woodley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darren Till | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 5:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 45 |
| Ground ELO | 1 155 | 1 491 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Tyron Woodley dominated Darren Till on the ground with 5:30 of control time, 45 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Darren Till | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 104 | 406 |
| Activity ELO | 1 296 | 1 395 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +15 |
Tyron Woodley demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tyron Woodley capitalized on this activity level, while Darren Till's 104-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darren Till | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 137 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +22 |
Tyron Woodley extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Darren Till is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darren Till | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 095 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.