Darrick Minner vs Grant Dawson

February 28, 2020

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

972
(-28)
Darrick Minner
Winner: Grant Dawson
Submission
Round 2 • 1:38

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Darrick Minner-28
Grant Dawson+30
1119
(+30)
Grant Dawson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Darrick Minner: -24Grant Dawson: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrick MinnerGrant Dawson
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9761 113
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Grant Dawson for the expected result. Had Darrick Minner pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Darrick Minner: -18Grant Dawson: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrick MinnerGrant Dawson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9821 060
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Darrick Minner: -31Grant Dawson: +47

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrick MinnerGrant Dawson
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:381:38
Win Type ELO9691 144
ELO Change-31+47
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:38, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Darrick Minner was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Darrick Minner: -39Grant Dawson: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrick MinnerGrant Dawson
Significant Strikes Landed415
Significant Strikes Attempted722
Total Strikes Landed2642
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9611 088
ELO Change-39+39
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson edged the striking exchanges with 15 vs 4 significant strikes, 68.2% vs 57.1% accuracy. Grant Dawson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Darrick Minner: -61Grant Dawson: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrick MinnerGrant Dawson
Takedowns Landed12
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time0:265:15
Ground Strikes Landed114
Ground ELO9391 310
ELO Change-61+61
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson dominated Darrick Minner on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 5:15 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Darrick Minner: -16Grant Dawson: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrick MinnerGrant Dawson
Days Since Last FightN/A288
Activity ELO9841 107
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson demonstrated standard activity with 288 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Grant Dawson capitalized on this activity level, while Darrick Minner's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Darrick Minner: -18Grant Dawson: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrick MinnerGrant Dawson
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO9821 072
ELO Change-18+23
💡

What Happened

Grant Dawson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Darrick Minner is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Darrick Minner: -18Grant Dawson: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricDarrick MinnerGrant Dawson
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9821 060
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.