February 28, 2020
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Darrick Minner | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Grant Dawson's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Grant Dawson for the expected result. Had Darrick Minner pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Darrick Minner | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Darrick Minner | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:38 | 1:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 969 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +47 |
Grant Dawson earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:38, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Darrick Minner was submitted.
| Metric | Darrick Minner | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 961 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Grant Dawson edged the striking exchanges with 15 vs 4 significant strikes, 68.2% vs 57.1% accuracy. Grant Dawson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Darrick Minner | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:26 | 5:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 939 | 1 310 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Grant Dawson dominated Darrick Minner on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 5:15 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Darrick Minner | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 288 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Grant Dawson demonstrated standard activity with 288 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Grant Dawson capitalized on this activity level, while Darrick Minner's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Darrick Minner | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Grant Dawson extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Darrick Minner is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Darrick Minner | Grant Dawson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

