Dave Herman vs Stefan Struve

February 14, 2012

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1008
(-36)
Dave Herman
Winner: Stefan Struve
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 3:52

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Dave Herman-36
Stefan Struve+41
1141
(+41)
Stefan Struve

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Dave Herman: -26Stefan Struve: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricDave HermanStefan Struve
Total UFC Fights210
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO9951 113
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve's 8-fight experience advantage (10 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Stefan Struve for the expected result. Had Dave Herman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Dave Herman: -19Stefan Struve: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDave HermanStefan Struve
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0021 077
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Dave Herman: -26Stefan Struve: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricDave HermanStefan Struve
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:523:52
Win Type ELO1 0601 278
ELO Change-26+54
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Dave Herman: -106Stefan Struve: +106

Performance Statistics

MetricDave HermanStefan Struve
Significant Strikes Landed5147
Significant Strikes Attempted7481
Total Strikes Landed5182
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9921 145
ELO Change-106+106
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve controlled the striking exchanges with 82 vs 51 total strikes, 58.0% vs 68.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stefan Struve capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Dave Herman: -61Stefan Struve: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricDave HermanStefan Struve
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:060:55
Ground Strikes Landed08
Ground ELO9981 120
ELO Change-61+61
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Dave Herman: -11Stefan Struve: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricDave HermanStefan Struve
Days Since Last Fight250138
Activity ELO1 0101 219
ELO Change-11+22
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve demonstrated solid activity levels with 138 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stefan Struve capitalized on this activity level, while Dave Herman's 250-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Dave Herman: -18Stefan Struve: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricDave HermanStefan Struve
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0051 096
ELO Change-18+21
💡

What Happened

Stefan Struve extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dave Herman is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Dave Herman: -19Stefan Struve: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricDave HermanStefan Struve
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0021 077
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.