June 27, 2006
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dave Menne | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 018 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 009 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 973 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Josh Koscheck earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 68 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 95 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 871 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Josh Koscheck dominated the striking exchanges with 95 vs 21 total strikes, 45 vs 13 significant strikes, 66.2% vs 38.2% accuracy. Josh Koscheck capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:30 | 11:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 39 |
| Ground ELO | 938 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Josh Koscheck dominated Dave Menne on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 11:18 of control time, 39 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 370 | 83 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +49 |
Josh Koscheck demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 83 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Josh Koscheck capitalized on this activity level, while Dave Menne's 1370-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Josh Koscheck extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dave Menne is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.