January 10, 2002
UFC Middleweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dave Menne | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 061 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 053 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +77 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Murilo Bustamante captured the UFC Middleweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:44 | 0:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 029 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +97 |
Murilo Bustamante gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 001 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Murilo Bustamante controlled the striking exchanges with 9 vs 14 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 42.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Murilo Bustamante capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 017 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Murilo Bustamante landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +58 |
Murilo Bustamante demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Murilo Bustamante capitalized on this activity level, while Dave Menne's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Murilo Bustamante started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dave Menne is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Murilo Bustamante |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.