September 26, 2002
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Dave Menne | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 038 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 030 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:18 | 0:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 997 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +94 |
Phil Baroni secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:18 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 900 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -101 | +101 |
Phil Baroni controlled the striking exchanges with 8 vs 1 significant strikes, 61.5% vs 14.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Phil Baroni capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 998 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 995 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +41 |
Phil Baroni demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Phil Baroni capitalized on this activity level, while Dave Menne's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Phil Baroni extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dave Menne is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Dave Menne | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 996 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.