Davey Grant vs Grigory Popov

November 8, 2019

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

976
(+30)
Davey Grant
Winner: Davey Grant
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Davey Grant+30
Grigory Popov-30
938
(-30)
Grigory Popov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Davey Grant: +32Grigory Popov: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricDavey GrantGrigory Popov
Total UFC Fights52
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 000939
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Davey Grant's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Davey Grant for the expected result. Had Grigory Popov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Davey Grant: +22Grigory Popov: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDavey GrantGrigory Popov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO983957
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Davey Grant: +12Grigory Popov: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricDavey GrantGrigory Popov
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO950963
ELO Change+12-12
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Davey Grant receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Davey Grant: +19Grigory Popov: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricDavey GrantGrigory Popov
Significant Strikes Landed3035
Significant Strikes Attempted6388
Total Strikes Landed3457
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO973901
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

Grigory Popov controlled the striking through superior volume (57 vs 34 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (35 vs 30). However, since Grigory Popov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Davey Grant's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Davey Grant: +88Grigory Popov: -88

Performance Statistics

MetricDavey GrantGrigory Popov
Takedowns Landed60
Takedowns Attempted90
Ground Control Time6:020:58
Ground Strikes Landed36
Ground ELO949869
ELO Change+88-88
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What Happened

Davey Grant controlled Grigory Popov on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 6:02 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Davey Grant: +20Grigory Popov: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDavey GrantGrigory Popov
Days Since Last Fight476155
Activity ELO980961
ELO Change+20-22
💡

What Happened

Davey Grant demonstrated extended layoff with 476 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Davey Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Grigory Popov's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Davey Grant: +24Grigory Popov: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDavey GrantGrigory Popov
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO988958
ELO Change+24-22
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What Happened

Davey Grant started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Grigory Popov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Davey Grant: +22Grigory Popov: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricDavey GrantGrigory Popov
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO983957
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.