November 8, 2019
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Davey Grant | Grigory Popov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Davey Grant's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Davey Grant for the expected result. Had Grigory Popov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Grigory Popov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Grigory Popov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 950 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Davey Grant receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Grigory Popov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 88 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 973 | 901 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Grigory Popov controlled the striking through superior volume (57 vs 34 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (35 vs 30). However, since Grigory Popov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Davey Grant's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Grigory Popov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:02 | 0:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 949 | 869 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -88 |
Davey Grant controlled Grigory Popov on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 6:02 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Grigory Popov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 476 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -22 |
Davey Grant demonstrated extended layoff with 476 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Davey Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Grigory Popov's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Grigory Popov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Davey Grant started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Grigory Popov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Grigory Popov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

