May 13, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Davey Grant | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 055 | 953 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -29 |
Davey Grant overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Louis Smolka.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 012 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:49 | 0:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 211 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -37 |
Davey Grant gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 81 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 197 | 139 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 199 | 920 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Davey Grant controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 71 significant strikes, 41.1% vs 51.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Davey Grant capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:35 | 0:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 006 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Davey Grant landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -22 |
Davey Grant demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Davey Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Louis Smolka's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 033 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Davey Grant started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Louis Smolka is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Louis Smolka |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 012 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.