June 18, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Marlon Vera's 9-fight experience advantage (17 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marlon Vera for the expected result. Had Davey Grant pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 009 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 144 | 1 355 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Marlon Vera earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 83 | 105 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 168 | 162 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 95 | 112 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 171 | 1 323 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Marlon Vera controlled the striking exchanges with 105 vs 83 significant strikes, 64.8% vs 49.4% accuracy. Marlon Vera capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:54 | 5:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 25 |
| Ground ELO | 987 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Marlon Vera controlled Davey Grant on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 5:15 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 032 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +14 |
Marlon Vera demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Marlon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Davey Grant's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +18 |
Marlon Vera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Davey Grant is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 009 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.