July 10, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Davey Grant | Martin Day |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Davey Grant's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Davey Grant for the expected result. Had Martin Day pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Martin Day |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Martin Day |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:38 | 2:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 044 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -47 |
Davey Grant gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Martin Day |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 177 | 160 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 87 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 057 | 867 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Davey Grant controlled the striking exchanges with 74 vs 62 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Davey Grant capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Martin Day |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:08 | 1:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 993 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Davey Grant landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Martin Day |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 595 |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Davey Grant demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Davey Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Martin Day's 595-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Martin Day |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 013 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Davey Grant extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Martin Day is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Martin Day |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

