March 10, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Davey Grant | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 115 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -39 |
Davey Grant overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Raphael Assuncao.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:43 | 4:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 275 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -42 |
Davey Grant earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:43, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Raphael Assuncao was submitted.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 138 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 67 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 241 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Davey Grant controlled the striking exchanges with 65 vs 42 significant strikes, 47.1% vs 72.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Davey Grant capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:52 | 4:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 074 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -68 |
Davey Grant edged out Raphael Assuncao on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:52 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 302 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Davey Grant demonstrated standard activity with 302 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Davey Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Raphael Assuncao's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 067 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -28 |
Davey Grant extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Raphael Assuncao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Davey Grant | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

