September 6, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 1 261 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Islam Makhachev's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Islam Makhachev for the expected result. Had Davi Ramos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 182 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Islam Makhachev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 95 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 095 | 1 313 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Islam Makhachev dominated the striking exchanges with 88 vs 27 total strikes, 43 vs 7 significant strikes, 45.3% vs 12.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Islam Makhachev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:25 | 4:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 281 | 1 478 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Islam Makhachev landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 081 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +34 |
Islam Makhachev demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Islam Makhachev capitalized on this activity level, while Davi Ramos's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 072 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +42 |
Islam Makhachev continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Davi Ramos's now at 0.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Islam Makhachev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

