November 9, 2018
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Davi Ramos | John Gunther |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 091 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Davi Ramos's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Davi Ramos for the expected result. Had John Gunther pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | John Gunther |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | John Gunther |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:57 | 1:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 189 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -28 |
Davi Ramos earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | John Gunther |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 152 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Davi Ramos slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 80.0% vs 33.3% accuracy. Davi Ramos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | John Gunther |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:45 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 300 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Davi Ramos dominated John Gunther on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:45 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | John Gunther |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 128 |
| Activity ELO | 1 078 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Davi Ramos demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Davi Ramos capitalized on this activity level, while John Gunther's 128-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | John Gunther |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 065 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Davi Ramos extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Gunther is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | John Gunther |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.