March 10, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Sergio Moraes's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sergio Moraes for the expected result. Had Davi Ramos pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 983 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Sergio Moraes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 122 | 93 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Sergio Moraes slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 41.9% vs 28.7% accuracy. Sergio Moraes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 992 | 1 261 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 986 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +36 |
Sergio Moraes demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sergio Moraes capitalized on this activity level, while Davi Ramos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +18 |
Sergio Moraes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Davi Ramos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Davi Ramos | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

