September 19, 1996
Open Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | David Abbott | Sam Adkins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
David Abbott's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding David Abbott for the expected result. Had Sam Adkins pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | David Abbott | Sam Adkins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | David Abbott | Sam Adkins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:06 | 2:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 248 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -17 |
David Abbott earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | David Abbott | Sam Adkins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 2 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 175 | 897 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
David Abbott edged the striking exchanges with 8 vs 0 significant strikes, 88.9% vs 0.0% accuracy. David Abbott capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | David Abbott | Sam Adkins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 164 | 878 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
David Abbott dominated Sam Adkins on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | David Abbott | Sam Adkins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 279 | 217 |
| Activity ELO | 1 232 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
David Abbott demonstrated standard activity with 279 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, David Abbott capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Adkins's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | David Abbott | Sam Adkins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
David Abbott started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Adkins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | David Abbott | Sam Adkins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.